Busan Buk Constituency Shows Strong Support for Lee Jae-myung
Recent survey results reveal Lee Jae-myung securing 39% support among voters for the National Assembly proportional seat in Busan Buk ahead of the June 3 by-election. Han Dong-hoon follows with 29%, while Park Min-sik garners 21%. The margin of error stands at ±4.3%.
In a hypothetical runoff between Han Dong-hoon and Park Min-sik supporters, Lee Jae-myung pulls ahead with 46% compared to Han Dong-hoon’s 40%. Among Park Min-sik backers, 65% shift to Han Dong-hoon, with 15% favoring Lee Jae-myung. Han Dong-hoon supporters show 60% loyalty to Park Min-sik and 23% to Lee Jae-myung.
Demographic Breakdown
- 40s: 53% for Lee Jae-myung
- 50s: 51% for Lee Jae-myung
- Urban residents: 42% for Lee Jae-myung
- Progressives: 71% for Lee Jae-myung
- Conservatives: 43% for Han Dong-hoon
Voters split evenly on a Han Dong-hoon vs. Park Min-sik matchup, with 40% supporting each. Among citizens’ party supporters, 67% approve the pairing, while 25% oppose it.
Gyeonggi Proportional Seat: Kim Young-nam Edges Ahead
Survey data for Gyeonggi’s proportional seat indicates Kim Young-nam at 29%, Jo Kuk at 24%, and Lee Ui-dong at 20%. Hwang Kyu-an receives 8%, and Kim Jae-yeon 4%.
In runoffs, Kim Young-nam leads Lee Ui-dong 54%-34%, while Jo Kuk tops Lee Ui-dong 48%-38%. Opinions on these pairings show 46% opposition and 29% support overall.
Gyeonggi Single Constituency: Lee Kwang-jae Leads
Lee Kwang-jae holds 47% support against Lee Yong’s 33% in Gyeonggi’s single constituency race, a 14-point gap.
Strong backing comes from 40s (69%) and 50s (64%) for Lee Kwang-jae, while Lee Yong performs well among 60s (48%) and 70s+ (48%). Urban voters favor Lee Kwang-jae at 78%, and conservatives back Lee Yong at 67%.
Survey Details
Polls targeted adults aged 18+ via mobile panels, achieving 95% response rates with margins of error around ±4.3%. Busan Buk sampled 508 respondents, Gyeonggi proportional 501, and single constituency 500.
