The Financial institution of Korea introduced on Dec. 25 that it’s going to determine whether or not to chop the bottom rate of interest subsequent 12 months by contemplating inflation, development developments, and monetary stability dangers. Whereas the central financial institution maintained a rate-cutting stance this 12 months, this assertion means that it might halt price cuts subsequent 12 months relying on inflation developments and different elements.
In its Financial and Credit score Coverage Operation Course for 2026 report, the BOK said, “Upward stress on inflation might increase past expectations as a result of alternate charges and home demand restoration.”
The BOK defined, “Whereas development is anticipated to rise to the extent of potential development price, each upside and draw back dangers associated to the worldwide commerce atmosphere and semiconductor cycles stay excessive,” including, “From a monetary stability perspective, it’s essential to proceed monitoring dangers associated to housing costs within the Seoul metropolitan space and family debt.”
This evaluation reveals that whereas the central financial institution maintained a rate-cutting stance this 12 months to answer low development, it might not implement price cuts subsequent 12 months contemplating variables corresponding to inflation, development outlook, and family debt.
The BOK additionally set monetary and international alternate market stability as a serious aim. Given potential danger elements together with structural changes in some industries and financial conditions of main international locations, the financial institution will strengthen its early identification capabilities. Moreover, as vigilance within the home international alternate sector is heightening, the financial institution plans to strengthen market monitoring and actively implement market stabilization measures towards extreme focus. The BOK may also constantly pursue institutional enhancements to boost international investor accessibility, together with 24-hour international alternate market operations and regulatory changes associated to offshore received utilization amongst non-residents.
The BOK may also enhance the lending system to make sure monetary system stability. An emergency lending help system that permits banks to obtain liquidity help utilizing mortgage belongings as collateral will likely be applied beginning January subsequent 12 months. A brand new ‘SME Mortgage-linked Help Program (tentative identify)’ may also be launched to help credit score provide to small and medium-sized enterprises total.
The central financial institution additionally determined to strengthen exterior communication. It can improve exterior occasions by Financial Coverage Committee members and overview increasing the committee members’ 3-month conditional rate of interest outlook to a 1-year dot plot.
Infrastructure system enhancements will proceed to internationalize won-denominated securities. The BOK plans to increase the working hours of its monetary community beginning April subsequent 12 months and construct a brand new offshore received settlement system (tentative identify) that operates 24 hours, with pilot operations scheduled to start by the top of subsequent 12 months.
Moreover, the financial institution plans to conduct Challenge Hangang Part 2 actual transaction experiments and pilot tasks for treasury fund execution to ascertain a basis for commercializing digital foreign money methods and deposit tokens subsequent 12 months.
The BOK additionally plans to boost its digital asset market administration capabilities. A BOK official emphasised, “We’ll actively take part in discussions on stablecoin laws by the Nationwide Meeting and authorities, and strengthen our information assortment and evaluation capabilities for the general digital asset market, together with stablecoins.”